Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | HALL -100000 NHVN +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +23 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -27.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -20.6 (+2.4) | 126.9 (-13.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -22.1 (+0.9) | 127.2 (-14.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -25.8 (-2.8) | 126.7 (-13.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -24.8 (-1.8) | 127.8 (-14.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#66) | -12.9 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#32) | -0.57 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.97 (#19) | -0.97 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#124) | 0.485 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 15.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 40.9% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 36.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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