Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | MUR -1800 LR +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +21 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -25.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -22.6 (-1.6) | 149.6 (+7.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MUR -20.0 (+1.0) | 148.4 (+8.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MUR -19.7 (+1.3) | 148.6 (+8.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -22.8 (-1.8) | 151.2 (+5.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2023 | LR 80 – 66 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#73) | -11.1 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#126) | -0.27 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#128) | -0.79 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#199) | 0.463 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 47.7% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 28.4% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 35.6% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.