Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | TXST -120 ACU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +14 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -0.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -1.3 (+12.7) | 134.6 (-22.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -1.6 (+12.4) | 135.7 (-23.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -2.4 (+11.6) | 137.1 (-25.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -1.7 (+12.3) | 135.7 (-23.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | ACU 72 – 60 TXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 16-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#301) | -1.1 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#195) | 0.31 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#211) | 0.29 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#222) | 0.608 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.4% | 38.8% |
Game Analysis
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