Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -1600 PFW +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -13.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -13.1 (-5.1) | 157.1 (+4.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -12.0 (-4.0) | 149.6 (+12.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -13.7 (-5.7) | 152.6 (+9.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -13.9 (-5.9) | 153.4 (+8.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#174) | -6.9 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#83) | -1.89 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#98) | -2.91 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#213) | 0.368 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 24.7% |
| REB / G | 43.8 | 27.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 63.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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