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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–10 on winners spread MAE 9.2 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arizona @ UConn +5.9 148.9 74% 71–67 ✗
Chattanooga @ South Carolina State -3.6 137.3 32% 78–66 ✓
South Alabama @ Jacksonville State — — — 71–65 —
Bethune-Cookman @ Ohio +3.9 158.7 76% 76–73 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Indiana State +8.4 138.3 77% 51–60 ✓
Hofstra @ Temple +3.5 147.8 67% 76–81 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ South Carolina Upstate +4.4 132.7 69% 88–84 ✗
Howard @ Stetson +2.1 139.7 49% 60–64 ✓
North Florida @ Wofford +12.4 146.6 87% 78–86 ✓
William & Mary @ Bowling Green +16.2 152.9 86% 82–74 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Samford +7.0 157.1 71% 77–62 ✗
Youngstown State @ Toledo +0.0 151.1 57% 75–92 ✓
Valparaiso @ Cleveland State +4.6 147.3 71% 90–75 ✗
Villanova @ La Salle -7.8 140.4 20% 70–55 ✓
Bryant @ Virginia Tech +21.0 152.4 90% 61–78 ✓
Bellarmine @ Notre Dame +25.4 145.5 91% 79–86 ✓
VMI @ Richmond +9.5 152.7 84% 54–87 ✓
UMBC @ George Washington +18.3 149.6 89% 52–89 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Duquesne +11.6 146.5 83% 78–92 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Maryland +16.2 137.2 89% 90–95 ✓
Wyoming @ Sam Houston -1.8 152.3 46% 70–78 ✗
Maine @ Merrimack +5.5 132.1 73% 65–72 ✓
Dayton @ Marquette +6.0 145.7 71% 77–71 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Western Carolina -1.8 142.6 39% 73–80 ✗
UC Irvine @ Utah Valley +3.4 146.9 71% 72–79 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Bradley +20.5 148.3 91% 77–87 ✓
North Dakota @ Creighton +21.9 151.5 90% 60–75 ✓
South Florida @ Oklahoma State +2.8 159.8 60% 95–103 ✓
Kansas City @ TCU +17.2 152.0 89% 45–81 ✓
Lipscomb @ Belmont +12.3 144.0 82% 68–75 ✓
Jackson State @ Auburn +28.4 154.9 91% 66–112 ✓
Alabama @ Illinois +5.6 167.3 69% 90–86 ✗
Arkansas State @ Saint Mary's — — — 72–85 —
Campbell @ Weber State +3.1 151.0 67% 85–91 ✓
Southern Utah @ Washington State +14.8 147.2 89% 74–98 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Incarnate Word +10.0 136.2 75% 81–87 ✓
High Point @ UIC -2.7 146.1 48% 90–80 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Marshall +16.8 157.4 90% 70–98 ✓
Memphis @ Purdue +10.4 150.1 81% 71–80 ✓
Lindenwood @ Indiana +28.0 154.9 91% 53–73 ✓
Robert Morris @ St. Bonaventure +9.2 145.2 81% 61–75 ✓
Brown @ Stony Brook +10.3 135.4 81% 70–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.