Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | JXST -145 USA +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USA +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -11.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -7.8 (-13.8) | 138.5 (-2.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -6.1 (-12.1) | 136.0 (-0.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -7.0 (-13.0) | 137.4 (-1.4) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | USA 76 – 74 JXST |
| Dec 1, 2023 | JXST 70 – 52 USA |
| Dec 21, 2022 | USA 71 – 66 JXST |
| Dec 5, 2021 | USA 74 – 64 JXST |
| Nov 29, 2020 | JXST 77 – 73 USA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#152) | -2.9 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#131) | 2.62 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#132) | 3.37 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#68) | 0.550 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | USA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 12.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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