Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -250 DAY +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -7.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -6.0 (-12.0) | 145.7 (+2.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -4.9 (-10.9) | 145.8 (+2.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -6.0 (-12.0) | 148.9 (-0.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -5.1 (-11.1) | 150.2 (-2.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | DAY 71 – 63 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-7 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#115) | 3.7 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#220) | 1.06 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#204) | 1.35 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#246) | 0.610 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 43.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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