And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–11 on winners spread MAE 11.4 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Bucknell @ St. John's +21.9 153.3 90% 49–97 ✓
Tennessee State @ Tennessee +20.3 153.0 89% 60–89 ✓
Colgate @ Cornell +4.0 153.4 65% 94–95 ✓
Nebraska @ New Mexico -0.8 140.8 61% 84–72 ✓
Texas Southern @ Vanderbilt +28.6 158.1 91% 74–109 ✓
Northeastern @ Princeton -3.9 139.2 33% 57–70 ✗
Pacific @ Florida Atlantic +7.2 146.7 80% 59–82 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Queens University +10.8 150.9 85% 94–101 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Central Michigan +7.7 138.6 80% 90–66 ✗
Chicago State @ Iowa +24.2 146.7 91% 54–93 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Miami (OH) +12.3 134.6 86% 71–76 ✓
Pittsburgh @ UCF +0.1 141.9 41% 67–77 ✓
Long Island University @ Fordham +0.4 139.8 57% 53–69 ✓
Elon @ Miami +15.4 161.5 87% 72–99 ✓
Western Michigan @ Ohio State +16.4 149.9 89% 58–91 ✓
Tarleton State @ Rice +3.0 137.9 65% 90–74 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Oklahoma +22.3 155.4 90% 71–95 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Texas +18.9 130.1 87% 56–74 ✓
South Dakota @ Missouri +19.9 161.0 89% 68–102 ✓
Wake Forest @ Texas Tech +6.8 152.4 78% 83–84 ✓
Rider @ Houston +26.8 132.9 90% 45–91 ✓
Cal Poly @ Utah +7.1 154.2 79% 92–85 ✗
Mississippi State @ Kansas State +3.7 156.9 65% 77–98 ✓
Troy @ USC +13.3 167.5 84% 106–107 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ UNLV +11.3 155.1 83% 85–99 ✓
Arizona State @ Hawai'i +6.8 137.5 76% 83–76 ✗
Green Bay @ Yale +20.6 148.0 90% 67–73 ✓
Utah State @ Tulane -10.0 140.6 19% 96–75 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Alabama State +2.0 158.3 69% 80–101 ✓
Butler @ South Carolina -1.1 150.0 46% 79–72 ✓
Massachusetts @ Charleston -2.9 148.5 39% 65–69 ✗
Campbell @ UT Arlington +2.3 139.5 62% 71–67 ✗
Davidson @ Boston College +1.1 137.4 59% 59–49 ✗
Wisconsin @ BYU +5.4 150.2 71% 70–98 ✓
Northwestern @ Virginia +0.7 139.7 45% 78–83 ✓
Iona @ Akron +5.9 166.9 80% 75–96 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Florida State +19.4 171.5 89% 72–98 ✓
Lafayette @ Stonehill +7.9 143.2 80% 70–74 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Air Force -5.7 131.3 33% 63–77 ✗
Columbia @ Lehigh +0.3 130.1 51% 82–67 ✗
Louisville @ Cincinnati -1.8 156.9 40% 74–64 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Michigan State +25.1 149.9 91% 56–84 ✓
Oakland @ Eastern Michigan +5.2 144.6 72% 91–97 ✓
Charlotte @ App State +1.5 133.6 50% 63–65 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Rutgers +11.6 137.9 86% 67–54 ✗
West Virginia @ Clemson +6.6 127.4 72% 67–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.