Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -100000 BUCK +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +48 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -24.1 (+23.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -21.9 (+26.1) | 153.3 (-7.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -20.4 (+27.6) | 149.3 (-3.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -23.6 (+24.4) | 152.2 (-6.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -23.9 (+24.1) | 152.2 (-6.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 18-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 9-1 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#25) | -4.6 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#135) | -0.72 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#109) | -1.26 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#71) | 0.409 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 43.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.