Boston College
Eagles
49
–
59
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
Davidson
Wildcats
Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | BC -120 DAV +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +10 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -3.8 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -0.2 (-9.8) | 131.4 (-23.4) | 47% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BC -1.1 (-11.1) | 137.4 (-29.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | DAV -1.1 (-8.9) | 131.3 (-23.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -0.2 (-9.8) | 130.6 (-22.6) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#131) | 6.5 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#191) | 3.13 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#136) | 5.41 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#265) | 0.710 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 52.8% |
| 3PT% | 24.3% | 47.1% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 64.2% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 36.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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