Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -100000 TNST +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +29 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -18.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -20.3 (+8.7) | 153.0 (-4.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -17.7 (+11.3) | 150.9 (-1.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -20.0 (+9.0) | 150.3 (-1.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -18.9 (+10.1) | 153.7 (-4.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#35) | -0.1 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#101) | -0.54 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#117) | -0.59 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#167) | 0.522 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 50.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 17.5 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 52.6% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.0% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 37.2% |
Game Analysis
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