Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -30.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | MSU -50000 DETM +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +28 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MSU -26.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -25.1 (+2.9) | 149.9 (-9.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -22.4 (+5.6) | 145.3 (-5.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -27.0 (+1.0) | 145.2 (-5.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -25.4 (+2.6) | 150.7 (-10.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2020 | MSU 83 – 76 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#44) | -9.8 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#24) | -3.55 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#23) | -6.02 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.690 (#14) | 0.333 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 22.8% |
| REB / G | 44.8 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.87 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 42.4% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 80.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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