Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Schottenstein Center · November 21, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -26.5 Home covered
O/U 159.5 Under
Money OSU -100000 / WMU +4000
Model Predictions
Spread Total OSU win
Actual OSU +33 149 Won
Massey OSU -14.1 (+18.9)
Massey Totals 156.4 (-7.4)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML OSU -16.4 (+16.6) 149.9 (-0.9) 89%
Baseline Tuned ML OSU -14.3 (+18.7) 149.2 (-0.2) 86%
Baseline ML OSU -16.1 (+16.9) 149.8 (-0.8) 85%
Baseline Plus ML OSU -16.2 (+16.8) 150.9 (-1.9) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 19, 2023 OSU 7356 WMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OSU WMU
Overall 21-13 10-21
Conference 12-8 4-14
Home 14-3 7-8
Away 5-6 3-13
Neutral 2-4 0-0
Last 5 4-0 2-2
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 79.3 73.9
Avg Pts Against 72.6 80.1
Massey 6.3 (#83) -1.5 (#202)
Bradley-Terry 2.02 (#42) -1.07 (#269)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.58 (#62) -1.55 (#266)
RPI 0.622 (#49) 0.354 (#342)
Shooting & Four Factors OSU WMU
FG% 52.2% 46.2%
3PT% 38.0% 29.3%
REB / G 36.0 42.0
OREB / G 8.0 11.2
AST / TO 1.36 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 61.2% 50.6%
TOV% 17.6% 19.8%
ORB% 29.6% 32.4%
FT Rate 45.5% 27.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 13.4%
DRB% 77.2% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 17.4% 26.5%

Game Analysis

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