Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -195 WIS +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +28 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -5.2 (+22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -5.4 (+22.6) | 150.2 (+17.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -6.6 (+21.4) | 148.1 (+19.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -6.2 (+21.8) | 150.4 (+17.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -8.8 (+19.2) | 152.6 (+15.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 23, 2025 | BYU 91 – 89 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#23) | 14.7 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#92) | 1.60 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#80) | 2.25 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#52) | 0.622 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 1.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 58.2% |
| TOV% | 11.2% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 41.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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