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(3) Wisconsin Badgers
89 91
FINAL Neutral NCAA Tournament
(6) BYU Cougars
Ball Arena (Neutral) · March 23, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WIS -1.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Over
Money WIS -125 / BYU +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIS win
Actual BYU +2 180 Lost
Massey WIS -1.0 (-3.0)
Massey Totals 154.4 (+25.6)
Bradley-Terry 58%
Weighted B-T 68%
Efficiency Plus ML WIS -1.8 (-3.8) 153.1 (+26.9) 47%
Baseline Tuned ML WIS -1.6 (-3.6) 151.0 (+29.0) 61%
Baseline ML WIS -1.4 (-3.4) 152.4 (+27.6) 49%
Baseline Plus ML WIS -2.1 (-4.1) 150.9 (+29.1) 44%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 21, 2025 BYU 9870 WIS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIS BYU
Overall 27-10 26-10
Conference 13-7 14-6
Home 14-3 15-2
Away 6-5 6-5
Neutral 7-2 5-3
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.1 81.4
Avg Pts Against 70.9 72.6
Massey 18.0 (#16) 17.0 (#21)
Bradley-Terry 3.07 (#13) 2.76 (#27)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.01 (#12) 3.23 (#34)
RPI 0.602 (#19) 0.575 (#46)
Shooting & Four Factors WIS BYU
FG% 45.5% 48.2%
3PT% 34.8% 37.3%
REB / G 36.6 37.5
OREB / G 9.3 11.1
AST / TO 1.50 1.41
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.8% 57.2%
TOV% 14.2% 17.5%
ORB% 28.0% 33.2%
FT Rate 28.0% 21.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 14.4% 17.2%
DRB% 73.6% 74.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.1% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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