Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -1600 CP +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +7 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -3.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -7.1 (-14.1) | 154.2 (+22.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -5.8 (-12.8) | 149.5 (+27.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -6.3 (-13.3) | 151.7 (+25.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -10.5 (-17.5) | 153.7 (+23.3) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 85.3 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#189) | 2.1 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#72) | 1.04 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#60) | 1.60 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#145) | 0.632 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 41.6 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.