Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | OU -10000 ORU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +24 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | OU -22.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -22.3 (+1.7) | 155.4 (+10.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -18.0 (+6.0) | 155.2 (+10.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -21.9 (+2.1) | 157.4 (+8.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -22.4 (+1.6) | 158.5 (+7.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2020 | OU 79 – 65 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#61) | -7.9 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#190) | -1.66 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#172) | -2.08 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#212) | 0.502 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 25.7% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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