Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | STET +110 HOW -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +4 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | STET -3.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -2.1 (+1.9) | 139.7 (-15.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -3.4 (+0.6) | 140.4 (-16.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -3.8 (+0.2) | 141.4 (-17.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -3.6 (+0.4) | 139.6 (-15.6) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#348) | -10.3 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#272) | -2.00 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#270) | -3.03 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.337 (#346) | 0.398 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.6% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.8% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.2% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.