The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · November 20, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money SHSU -130 / WYO +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual SHSU +8 148 Won
Massey WYO -1.5 (+9.5)
Massey Totals 167.1 (-19.1)
Bradley-Terry 16%
Weighted B-T 4%
Efficiency Plus ML WYO -1.8 (+9.8) 152.3 (-4.3) 46%
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -2.3 (+10.3) 152.1 (-4.1) 35%
Baseline ML WYO -3.0 (+11.0) 152.8 (-4.8) 39%
Baseline Plus ML WYO -2.7 (+10.7) 158.2 (-10.2) 41%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU WYO
Overall 22-12 18-15
Conference 13-7 9-11
Home 13-1 14-4
Away 6-10 3-10
Neutral 3-1 1-1
Last 5 0-2 3-0
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 80.0 76.2
Avg Pts Against 76.9 72.9
Massey -0.9 (#191) 7.3 (#68)
Bradley-Terry -0.76 (#246) 2.22 (#32)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.94 (#234) 3.90 (#20)
RPI 0.480 (#201) 0.693 (#14)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU WYO
FG% 43.0% 44.5%
3PT% 34.9% 38.2%
REB / G 35.0 45.0
OREB / G 15.0 14.0
AST / TO 0.88 1.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.5% 53.0%
TOV% 16.6% 16.0%
ORB% 36.6% 33.6%
FT Rate 18.5% 26.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.5% 42.3%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 20.0%
DRB% 53.3% 78.8%
Opp FT Rate 44.1% 40.7%

Game Analysis

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