Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -1200 SUU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +24 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -19.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -14.8 (+9.2) | 147.2 (+24.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -12.7 (+11.3) | 152.8 (+19.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -12.5 (+11.5) | 152.6 (+19.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -14.7 (+9.3) | 150.5 (+21.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#232) | -16.4 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#291) | -2.54 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#274) | -3.62 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#225) | 0.333 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 22.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.7% | 62.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 80.2% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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