Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -20000 KC +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +36 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -18.5 (+17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -17.2 (+18.8) | 152.0 (-26.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -16.8 (+19.2) | 146.6 (-20.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -18.3 (+17.7) | 147.9 (-21.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -16.6 (+19.4) | 149.0 (-23.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 1-15 |
| Home | 14-5 | 3-11 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 84.8 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#105) | -7.2 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#245) | -1.77 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#218) | -2.34 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#213) | 0.359 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 21.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 59.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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