Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -120 CAM +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +6 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -8.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -3.1 (+2.9) | 151.0 (+25.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -4.7 (+1.3) | 150.6 (+25.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -5.1 (+0.9) | 151.4 (+24.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -4.6 (+1.4) | 153.0 (+23.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#177) | -1.1 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#285) | 0.08 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#281) | 0.28 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#301) | 0.623 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 44.3 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 15.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 41.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.0% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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