Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SYR -10000 MONM +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -27.0 (-22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -23.2 (-18.2) | 133.8 (+17.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -23.0 (-18.0) | 129.1 (+21.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -28.1 (-23.1) | 125.7 (+25.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -27.6 (-22.6) | 130.5 (+20.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2022 | SYR 86 – 71 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 18.1 (#5) | -2.0 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#127) | -1.53 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#131) | -2.93 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#288) | 0.419 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.04 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 27.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 33.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 30.8% | 40.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.8% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 58.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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