Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SC -750 RAD +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +29 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SC -20.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -15.5 (+13.5) | 158.6 (-13.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -17.0 (+12.0) | 150.4 (-5.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -18.4 (+10.6) | 151.2 (-6.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -17.9 (+11.1) | 154.5 (-9.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | SC 74 – 48 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-8 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 80.8 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#111) | -9.7 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#90) | -2.86 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#110) | -4.69 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#46) | 0.289 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 23.3% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 39.2% |
Game Analysis
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