Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -450 URI +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +9 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -26.9 (-35.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -17.3 (-26.3) | 149.9 (+13.1) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -19.5 (-28.5) | 150.2 (+12.8) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -22.5 (-31.5) | 149.0 (+14.0) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -23.9 (-32.9) | 149.1 (+13.9) | 90% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2024 | URI 84 – 78 YALE |
| Nov 26, 2023 | URI 76 – 72 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 22.4 (#3) | 2.4 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.62 (#1) | -0.22 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.72 (#2) | -0.46 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.764 (#7) | 0.362 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.4% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 50.8% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 33.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 25.6% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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