Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS -600 WICH +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +3 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -3.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -7.9 (-4.9) | 147.2 (-26.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BOIS -5.5 (-2.5) | 143.9 (-22.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | BOIS -5.6 (-2.6) | 146.0 (-25.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -6.1 (-3.1) | 147.0 (-26.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#74) | 10.4 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#101) | 1.06 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#90) | 1.47 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#170) | 0.550 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 42.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 42.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 16.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 43.4% |
| FT Rate | 39.5% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 80.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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