Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -1000 NJIT +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +32 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -3.1 (+28.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -1.6 (+30.4) | 140.2 (-22.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | DREX -4.4 (+27.6) | 138.5 (-20.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | DREX -0.4 (+31.6) | 140.3 (-22.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -1.0 (+31.0) | 141.3 (-23.3) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#274) | -1.9 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#318) | 0.75 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#316) | 0.52 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.335 (#345) | 0.483 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 11.8% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 42.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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