Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | GT -750 GASO +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | GT -10.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.5 (-34.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -8.7 (-6.7) | 153.1 (-19.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GT -8.8 (-6.8) | 154.5 (-20.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GT -8.3 (-6.3) | 151.4 (-17.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -8.7 (-6.7) | 150.3 (-16.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | GT 84 – 62 GASO |
| Nov 26, 2021 | GT 61 – 59 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L12 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 80.3 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#137) | -1.3 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#166) | 1.01 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#171) | 0.97 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#212) | 0.526 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 40.3% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 57.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.7% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 54.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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