Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | GT -6.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -6.8 (-4.8) | 135.1 (-15.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GT -9.0 (-7.0) | 132.6 (-12.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GT -6.1 (-4.1) | 138.8 (-18.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -6.9 (-4.9) | 138.7 (-18.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | GT 68 – 66 GASO |
| Nov 7, 2023 | GT 84 – 62 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-10 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#120) | 4.0 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#86) | 1.22 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#62) | 1.40 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#162) | 0.533 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 42.5% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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