Betting Lines
| Spread | EVAN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN -145 UTA +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | EVAN -0.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -0.3 (-7.7) | 128.0 (+32.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -0.1 (-8.1) | 128.8 (+31.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -0.7 (-8.7) | 131.5 (+28.5) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | UTA 80 – 54 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#303) | -0.8 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#292) | -0.31 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#286) | -0.38 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#107) | 0.385 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 20.8% | 23.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.9% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 27.1% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 40.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 39.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 35.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.