Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UTA -375 EVAN +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +26 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -10.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -9.3 (+16.7) | 145.3 (-11.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -9.0 (+17.0) | 146.4 (-12.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -8.1 (+17.9) | 146.0 (-12.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -9.1 (+16.9) | 147.6 (-13.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | UTA 84 – 76 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#187) | -7.9 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#247) | -1.84 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#219) | -1.94 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#183) | 0.417 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.4% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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