Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -30.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +34 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -27.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+37.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -23.9 (+10.1) | 130.3 (+33.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -27.3 (+6.7) | 132.5 (+31.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -26.6 (+7.4) | 130.7 (+33.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 4-25 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-5 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.7 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#53) | -11.1 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#178) | -0.52 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#166) | -0.67 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#273) | 0.552 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 29.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 15.6% |
| REB / G | 47.2 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.2 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 32.0% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 43.1% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 9.9% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.