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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–1 on winners spread MAE 7.0 60 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Duke @ Army	—	—	—	114–59	—
Florida State @ Florida	—	—	—	76–78	—
Radford @ North Carolina	—	—	—	74–89	—
Norfolk State @ Old Dominion	—	—	—	57–60	—
Drexel @ Colgate	—	—	—	83–90	—
Alcorn State @ Maryland	+15.9	135.0	90%	64–84	✓
Winthrop @ Coastal Carolina	—	—	—	66–72	—
Florida A&M @ UCF	—	—	—	60–97	—
Sacred Heart @ Villanova	—	—	—	60–94	—
Northwestern State @ North Alabama	—	—	—	83–87	—
Toledo @ Wright State	—	—	—	81–71	—
Jacksonville @ High Point	—	—	—	64–85	—
Georgia Southern @ Florida Gulf Coast	—	—	—	95–94	—
La Salle @ Temple	—	—	—	63–90	—
Wagner @ Fordham	—	—	—	61–63	—
Chicago State @ Butler	+19.1	152.8	90%	66–98	✓
Davidson @ Charlotte	—	—	—	62–55	—
NJIT @ Loyola Maryland	—	—	—	66–64	—
William & Mary @ Richmond	—	—	—	86–90	—
Stonehill @ Rhode Island	—	—	—	57–80	—
Dayton @ Cincinnati	—	—	—	62–74	—
Morehead State @ Clemson	+25.1	151.7	91%	56–83	✓
Central Connecticut @ Boston College	—	—	—	60–59	—
Northeastern @ Harvard	—	—	—	77–60	—
Pennsylvania @ Providence	—	—	—	81–106	—
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis	-1.7	135.0	53%	74–66	✓
Bucknell @ Princeton	—	—	—	63–73	—
Alabama State @ UAB	—	—	—	77–74	—
Yale @ Quinnipiac	—	—	—	97–60	—
Eastern Illinois @ Notre Dame	+19.6	140.6	90%	58–78	✓
Kentucky @ Louisville	+8.1	151.2	77%	88–96	✓
Central Arkansas @ Arkansas	—	—	—	56–93	—
Wofford @ Auburn	+15.5	138.8	87%	62–93	✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Kansas	+15.8	141.7	88%	46–77	✓
Merrimack @ Tarleton State	+6.7	142.1	79%	62–76	✓
Tulane @ Louisiana	+3.0	127.8	68%	66–62	✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Rice	—	—	—	81–69	—
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Oklahoma	+20.8	156.1	90%	69–95	✓
Buffalo @ DePaul	—	—	—	66–53	—
Arkansas State @ Missouri State	—	—	—	86–85	—
Cal State Northridge @ North Dakota State	—	—	—	68–90	—
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Nebraska	—	—	—	50–69	—
Murray State @ SMU	—	—	—	91–102	—
Queens University @ Duquesne	—	—	—	81–87	—
Texas Tech @ Illinois	—	—	—	77–81	—
Ball State @ Wisconsin	—	—	—	55–86	—
Austin Peay @ Wyoming	—	—	—	65–79	—
Northern Arizona @ Arizona	—	—	—	49–84	—
Delaware @ BYU	—	—	—	68–85	—
Memphis @ Ole Miss	—	—	—	77–83	—
UC Riverside @ New Mexico	—	—	—	68–82	—
Loyola Marymount @ UTEP	—	—	—	71–58	—
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Boise State	—	—	—	65–85	—
Hampton @ Virginia	—	—	—	53–91	—
Western Illinois @ Cal State Bakersfield	—	—	—	58–74	—
Creighton @ Gonzaga	—	—	—	63–90	—
Ohio @ Saint Mary's	—	—	—	60–90	—
UC Santa Barbara @ Sacramento State	—	—	—	92–87	—
Montana @ UNLV	—	—	—	102–93	—
Binghamton @ Georgetown	+21.7	137.3	90%	70–83	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.