Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–18 on winners spread MAE 7.5 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ SMU -5.4 136.8 25% 83–85 ✗
Ohio State @ Rutgers -2.1 135.1 46% 64–66 ✗
Xavier @ Seton Hall +2.6 140.8 68% 71–73 ✓
Yale @ Harvard +1.0 139.9 51% 62–59 ✗
Army @ Boston University +5.9 140.1 70% 74–75 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Holy Cross -5.2 131.3 29% 64–68 ✗
Cincinnati @ South Florida -6.7 126.4 23% 70–59 ✓
Lehigh @ Colgate +15.9 145.5 89% 62–78 ✓
American University @ Bucknell +2.4 141.1 61% 66–68 ✓
Radford @ Winthrop +11.7 136.8 84% 48–58 ✓
High Point @ Presbyterian +1.9 132.2 55% 79–70 ✗
Charleston Southern @ North Carolina A&T +9.4 137.0 83% 51–62 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Campbell +0.6 126.4 46% 57–45 ✗
Wake Forest @ NC State -3.3 152.2 43% 69–51 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Miami +8.2 141.1 81% 70–79 ✓
Louisville @ Notre Dame +7.7 134.5 80% 57–63 ✓
NJIT @ New Hampshire +4.9 131.8 69% 60–55 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Stony Brook +3.1 138.5 61% 85–87 ✓
Maine @ UAlbany +10.4 129.7 79% 73–63 ✗
Hartford @ UMBC +8.8 144.6 82% 64–68 ✓
Binghamton @ Vermont +16.8 138.5 88% 51–82 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Florida -1.1 136.1 42% 73–70 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville +4.1 139.1 70% 68–81 ✓
Oakland @ Youngstown State -2.7 143.5 40% 71–78 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Robert Morris -3.5 139.4 39% 79–62 ✓
George Washington @ Massachusetts +8.9 152.5 78% 77–68 ✗
Richmond @ George Mason +0.3 138.4 55% 84–87 ✓
Duquesne @ Dayton +13.1 130.1 87% 54–75 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Davidson +11.7 140.5 87% 67–73 ✓
Western Carolina @ Chattanooga +14.9 141.1 89% 47–65 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield +3.2 140.6 65% 69–60 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Delaware State -10.4 126.9 14% 58–50 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Stetson -6.0 135.3 28% 57–63 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Kennesaw State +10.7 151.3 83% 72–83 ✓
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +5.7 147.0 70% 60–92 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas State -6.6 134.3 20% 75–60 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +10.2 148.2 83% 69–80 ✓
Wright State @ Green Bay -7.5 137.8 22% 79–62 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee -3.3 135.2 30% 75–39 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa +5.2 131.8 73% 44–53 ✓
Valparaiso @ Illinois State +2.5 149.4 63% 75–78 ✓
Missouri State @ Drake +2.3 140.8 65% 66–62 ✗
Wofford @ Samford -3.7 142.7 40% 60–65 ✗
Alabama @ Ole Miss -3.6 149.4 31% 97–83 ✓
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma -2.7 126.9 46% 55–70 ✗
Tennessee @ Mississippi State -2.4 136.0 37% 72–63 ✓
Georgetown @ DePaul +7.8 149.2 80% 74–82 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Florida State +10.9 127.3 84% 56–51 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Bradley -2.4 132.8 48% 61–68 ✗
Minnesota @ Nebraska -4.2 144.4 32% 65–78 ✗
California @ Oregon State -0.4 133.5 45% 63–61 ✓
San Diego State @ San José State -14.3 129.6 12% 72–62 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Wagner +9.9 129.7 82% 57–69 ✓
William & Mary @ Towson +14.6 135.2 88% 60–75 ✓
Georgia Southern @ App State +5.9 126.7 76% 61–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.