Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -17.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +18 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -18.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-31.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -14.9 (+3.1) | 141.1 (-29.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -15.8 (+2.2) | 146.0 (-34.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -16.4 (+1.6) | 144.9 (-32.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -15.8 (+2.2) | 145.3 (-33.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WCU 81 – 76 UTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTC 90 – 82 WCU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UTC 91 – 86 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UTC 84 – 60 WCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WCU 82 – 63 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 12-4 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#73) | -8.1 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#52) | -0.77 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#69) | -1.00 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#28) | 0.454 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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