Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | BU -8.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -5.9 (-4.9) | 140.1 (+8.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -7.9 (-6.9) | 141.9 (+7.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -7.5 (-6.5) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -7.2 (-6.2) | 141.5 (+7.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | BU 85 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BU 100 – 91 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 62 BU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BU 71 – 63 ARMY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | ARMY 65 – 50 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#198) | -7.2 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#212) | -1.02 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#212) | -1.56 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#211) | 0.460 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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