Betting Lines
| Spread | NCAT -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCAT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCAT +11 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | NCAT -12.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCAT -9.4 (+1.6) | 137.0 (-24.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCAT -10.2 (+0.8) | 139.6 (-26.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCAT -10.4 (+0.6) | 139.9 (-26.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCAT -9.9 (+1.1) | 139.0 (-26.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2020 | NCAT 70 – 63 CHSO |
Game Analysis
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