Betting Lines
| Spread | CHSO -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | CHSO -160 NCAT +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCAT +7 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | CHSO -16.0 (-23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -5.2 (-12.2) | 140.6 (-7.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -5.8 (-12.8) | 138.3 (-5.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CHSO -6.4 (-13.4) | 138.7 (-5.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -3.9 (-10.9) | 139.7 (-6.7) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2022 | NCAT 62 – 51 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#190) | -8.8 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#204) | -1.06 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#199) | -1.44 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#145) | 0.458 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.26 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 37.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 18.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 59.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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