Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +16 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -13.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -15.9 (+0.1) | 145.5 (-5.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -12.4 (+3.6) | 147.1 (-7.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -12.2 (+3.8) | 147.5 (-7.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -12.8 (+3.2) | 145.1 (-5.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LEH 76 – 69 COLG |
| Jan 31, 2026 | LEH 77 – 76 COLG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LEH 78 – 77 COLG |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LEH 94 – 68 COLG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | COLG 67 – 62 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#132) | -8.2 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#217) | -1.73 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#198) | -2.39 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#192) | 0.413 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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