Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
| Money | MASS -350 GW +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -8.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -8.9 (-17.9) | 152.5 (-7.5) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -6.0 (-15.0) | 152.4 (-7.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -5.6 (-14.6) | 153.2 (-8.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -6.9 (-15.9) | 154.9 (-9.9) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | GW 74 – 52 MASS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | MASS 74 – 61 GW |
| Feb 28, 2024 | MASS 69 – 57 GW |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MASS 81 – 67 GW |
| Jan 7, 2023 | GW 81 – 73 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#170) | -5.1 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#171) | -0.69 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#173) | -1.05 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#166) | 0.467 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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