Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +6 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -6.9 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -4.8 (+10.8) | 137.3 (-17.3) | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -6.0 (+12.0) | 135.3 (-15.3) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -5.4 (+11.4) | 141.0 (-21.0) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -4.9 (+10.9) | 140.9 (-20.9) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2023 | STET 87 – 81 JXST |
Game Analysis
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