Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | STET -200 JXST +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +6 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | STET -12.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -11.2 (-5.2) | 141.3 (+26.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -7.8 (-1.8) | 138.5 (+29.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -10.4 (-4.4) | 142.5 (+25.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -10.6 (-4.6) | 142.5 (+25.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2022 | STET 63 – 57 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#162) | -8.0 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#142) | -1.44 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#131) | -1.74 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#127) | 0.417 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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