Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
| Money | WAG -330 MSM +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -12.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -9.9 (+2.1) | 129.7 (-3.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -10.9 (+1.1) | 132.8 (-6.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -11.3 (+0.7) | 134.4 (-8.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -10.2 (+1.8) | 132.0 (-6.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2021 | MSM 66 – 60 WAG |
| Feb 17, 2021 | WAG 57 – 55 MSM |
| Feb 17, 2021 | WAG 61 – 39 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-6 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 10-5 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#108) | -5.0 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#43) | -1.24 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#51) | -1.51 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#86) | 0.464 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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