Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -4.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -4.1 (+8.9) | 139.1 (+9.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -6.3 (+6.7) | 137.7 (+11.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -6.4 (+6.6) | 138.8 (+10.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -7.0 (+6.0) | 138.1 (+10.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | JAX 81 – 76 EKU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | JAX 78 – 67 EKU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | JAX 59 – 55 EKU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | JAX 82 – 75 EKU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | JAX 67 – 65 EKU |
Game Analysis
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