Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +2 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -2.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -2.6 (-0.6) | 140.8 (+3.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -1.9 (+0.1) | 141.1 (+2.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -1.7 (+0.3) | 141.8 (+2.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -1.7 (+0.3) | 141.5 (+2.5) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HALL 77 – 68 XAV |
| Jan 29, 2026 | HALL 86 – 68 XAV |
| Feb 23, 2025 | XAV 73 – 66 HALL |
| Dec 31, 2024 | XAV 94 – 72 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2024 | HALL 88 – 70 XAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 8-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 16-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#26) | 13.0 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#35) | 2.62 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#34) | 3.18 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#50) | 0.615 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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