Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +10 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -9.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-34.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -11.7 (-1.7) | 136.8 (-30.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -9.0 (+1.0) | 141.6 (-35.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -9.4 (+0.6) | 142.0 (-36.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -8.2 (+1.8) | 140.0 (-34.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | WIN 80 – 78 RAD |
| Jan 21, 2026 | WIN 76 – 75 RAD |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WIN 78 – 74 RAD |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RAD 87 – 67 WIN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WIN 85 – 69 RAD |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.