Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +3 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -1.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -1.0 (-4.0) | 139.9 (-18.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -0.8 (-3.8) | 140.1 (-19.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -0.3 (-3.3) | 141.4 (-20.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -0.6 (-3.6) | 141.9 (-20.9) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 76 – 75 HARV |
| Feb 1, 2026 | HARV 67 – 65 YALE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | HARV 74 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | YALE 84 – 55 HARV |
| Mar 3, 2024 | YALE 80 – 60 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#187) | 0.5 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#220) | 0.35 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#218) | 0.45 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#220) | 0.536 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.