Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -8.0 Push |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | DEP -360 GTWN +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -10.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -7.8 (+0.2) | 149.2 (+6.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -9.9 (-1.9) | 147.8 (+8.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -10.1 (-2.1) | 149.4 (+6.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -9.6 (-1.6) | 149.5 (+6.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | GTWN 63 – 56 DEP |
| Jan 29, 2026 | GTWN 70 – 61 DEP |
| Jan 7, 2026 | DEP 56 – 50 GTWN |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DEP 71 – 67 GTWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DEP 83 – 77 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 0-19 |
| Home | 11-7 | 6-11 |
| Away | 4-9 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L21 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#87) | -1.2 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#80) | -0.49 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#79) | -0.42 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#122) | 0.460 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.