Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -3.8 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -2.7 (+9.7) | 143.5 (+5.5) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -2.5 (+9.5) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -2.6 (+9.6) | 144.1 (+4.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -3.3 (+10.3) | 143.9 (+5.1) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | YSU 86 – 82 OAK |
| Jan 1, 2026 | OAK 85 – 83 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | YSU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Dec 7, 2024 | YSU 66 – 50 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | OAK 70 – 67 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-9 | 12-7 |
| Home | 13-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#239) | 2.9 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#254) | 0.95 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#256) | 0.78 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#265) | 0.568 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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