Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -8.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -10.2 (+0.8) | 148.2 (+0.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -8.8 (+2.2) | 148.1 (+0.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -8.3 (+2.7) | 147.6 (+1.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -8.1 (+2.9) | 149.4 (-0.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | TULN 81 – 69 MEM |
| Mar 8, 2026 | MEM 96 – 95 TULN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TULN 78 – 76 MEM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MEM 78 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#43) | 4.8 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#93) | 0.41 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#63) | 0.28 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#79) | 0.527 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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